Why Can’t I Make Ends Meet? (Redux)

IMPORTANT DISCLAIMER: In no way shape or form is this post endorsing the use of usury (interest) when terms like FED funds rate, credit, mortgage, stock market, investment, savings, loan, borrow, etc are used. This is merely an explanation of my fact finding mission on the different economic theories that have impacted the thinking of different economist across the world, and how this thinking has impacted the economic policy of the United States of America.

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WIHTJ fans, sorry it took me so long to write Part II of Economics Made Simple. The series covers the following topics:

  1. Part I: Renting vs Buying a home
  2. Part II: Why Can’t I Make Ends Meet?
    (How I found the Austrian School of Economics)
  3. Part III: Saving Money vs Serfdom
  4. Part IV: Casino Capitalism

Table of Contents

  1. Introduction
  2. The Austrians and Mises
  3. John Maynard Keynes
  4. Conclusion
  5. Economic Resources that will increase your Financial Neurons

America Dollar BillAfter completing the first version of this blog post, I decided to send it to my good friend JP, who does the blog But What the Hell do I Know I wanted to get some honest feed back on my Keynesian vs Austrian School post. In so many nice and friendly words he was able to tell me…well..it sucked. Every now and then it’s good to eat some humble pie. So I did (that pie was pretty good), and I went back to the drawing board. Keep in mind that I consider my boy JP quite a seasoned economist, albeit unofficial, when it comes to the Keynesian and Austrian school, so I knew I had to go back to the drawing board.

In the first version, I tried to make a case for which economic school is a better approach (which I failed at) or attempt at framing what each school is (which I failed to do) or not distort what the Austrian or Keynes school is (which I mistakenly did). Unfortunately I lost track of what I really wanted to do. I will forgo the Herculean tasks of comparing each school and explain how I found the Austrian School of Economics. What I really wanted to do was frame the following rhetorical and general questions:

  • Hey did you know that there is this economic school of thought that was driven by John Maynard Keynes, and this same school of thought dominates a lot of economic policy in the United States of America?
  • In addition, did you know that the Federal Reserve Bank (FED) dominates economic policy in the United States of America? Do you know what the Federal Reserve Bank does?
  • Why do we have financial crises and what is the root of how they get started, what caused them, and what fixed them?
  • Did you know that there is a school of economic thought called the Austrian School of Economics, that is actually trying to offer a model that explains how the economic world works around us, but at the same time being humble enough to know they can’t understand every single move in the economy because it is a dynamic amoeba-like entity that has way too many variables to track?
  • Are you aware that to understand this economic mess that it will take more than reading this short blog, but months and months, if not years of grueling eye-busting reading of books, articles, podcasts, etc.
  • Are you aware that you are about to stop reading this blog post, because of what I said in the previous bullet?
  • Are you aware that making the sacrifice to acquire this knowledge will make you probably make you more informed about why U.S. policy is the way that it is and when you vote (hopefully), you’ll actually have a clue (better) about why you are voting?
  • Do you want to understand what true Healthcare reform means?
  • Is it important for you to understand the true pros and cons of government policy decisions in the United Sates of America?

Now that you know the precursor, lets give it another go….

Introduction

I was probably hit by the “financial education” bug when I started cleaning up my debt situation around 2000. I’ve been waving the “Hey Folks, America’s household debt is unsustainable” flag for more than 10 years. I never knew what the source of the problem was, but watching the debt-to-asset ratio skyrocket while concurrently seeing the personal savings rate plummet was not a sign of good times to come. To be honest, I had no idea what was in store for the U.S Economy 8 years later. All I knew was that this is not a good situation. An eye opener for me was two things. The stock market bubble of 2000 and the last years financial collapse in October of 2008.

I played around in the stock market for several years. (Buying individual stocks) By following a true value investing/contrarian approach I was able to do pretty well. By adhering to those principles of investing prudence, raking across the 8-K and the 10-K while taking into account the intrinsic value of a companies stock, I was able to avoid a lot of the pitfalls that lured people into the “speculation” stock market bubble of 2000. Yes I made mistakes, but not deal breakers. I never cared whether we were in a bear or bull market. Bear and Bull markets do and don’t matter. (It depends on the situation). Stock market bubbles get headlines, but it’s the diligent investor who spends time understanding what he or she is investing in who wins in the end. This type of effort takes work, which is why most people will invest in whatever is coming from the “water cooler

After 2000 I didn’t get into anything more than just personal finance. Around 2007 to 2008, the calamity started with Bear Sterns, Lehman Brothers, AIG, the housing market bubble, billion dollar bailouts for banks, investment houses, etc, and thats when it all started. Before these events, I was not aware of how tightly wound the FED was around the U.S. government. Other than the FED moving the fed funds rate up and down to allegedly “cool” or “heat up” the economy, that’s pretty much all I knew. I didn’t know the history of the FED, when the FED was started, not to mention what type of batting average the FED had in stabilizing the economy. I grew some “Rothbardian” legs, if you will, and the rest is history.

Mises and the Austrians

My first entrance into understanding the tip of “Austrian Economic” iceberg was a site called Mises.org. If the Austrian School of Economics was a trunk of a tree, this would be one of many branches off the trunk. For the sake of not making the same mistake twice, I’m going to leave it to you to go to mises.org and assess whether the information is useful or not. They have a wonderful blog called Mises Daily and it’s chock full of morsels of econ delights that will whet your appetite for information.

Lets be honest. Even at the introductory level, this is pretty heavy stuff, but that shouldn’t deter you. I do believe that one of the reasons why Americans are in the fog of economic war when it comes to U.S economic policy is they don’t understand the “whys” of a particular policy decision. Nor do we know where to go to get that information. If you go to the FED website, and click on one of their documents you would need a phd in economics to understand what they are talking about. We often fall back on our ideological partisan heels, without trying to truly understand the merits and consequences of certain policy decision. Should we have a minimum wage tax? What are the impacts of having a central bank that dials the economy up and down at will? What is the true impact of the Cash for Clunkers initiative on the economy? What was the involvement of the FED with past and present financial crises? What are the economic solutions available for bringing countries out of poverty and what examples do we have of countries that have already achieved this?

I could go on and on, but these are just a sample of questions about the things that impact our day-to-day lives. Now check out the latest Google Trends. Do you see any broad searches like “Federal Reserve Bank’, “Keynesian Economics”, “Austrian Business Cycle Theory” etc? These are three very powerful terms that you should familiarize yourself with, yet they never ever enter into our stratosphere of topics. Are we surprised that the FED can swoop in and not have any idea where 9 trillion dollars went and the Americans are more concerned about fictitious “death panels” in healthcare or whether the Obama earned the right to get the Nobel Peace Prize? We have bigger fish to fry, check out this shocker:

John Maynard Keynes

The first time I heard about anything related to Keynes was through mises.org. I had no intentions of investigating the ideologies of Keynesian Economics, but many of the ideologies from Keynes have weaved themselves into the current economic policy of the United States of America. I wanted to get at the heart of what inspires the U.S. government to do what they do. I’ll provide resources at the end of this blog post that will get you up to speed on who Keynes is and how his ideologies have influenced U.S. economic policy. There is a lot of history there, and it will take you a while to churn through all the books, articles, and videos about Keynes. Here is a good start: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Keynesian_economics (Keynesians Economics).

Clearly Keynesian economics has made a huge comeback in recent years due to the current collapse of the economy. Are We All Keynesians Now?. I wonder what Keynes would say if he saw this current crisis? I’m sure Paul Krugman would be delighted. Keynes most famous work is the The General Theory of Employment Interest and Money. This is what what put Keynes on the map.

Conclusion

Budget squeezeThis post is about awareness. I have come to realize that not understanding the history of U.S. economic policy has not served me, or anyone else well. Especially those who consider themselves poor, downtrodden or apathetic about the political process. How are we to make educated decisions about government policy if we don’t understand what it is and how it works? How are to support bills that are created in the house and senate if we don’t understand what is being passed into law? I felt that my understanding about presidential candidates, tax policy, U.S economic policy decisions, local state regulations, etc could be compromised by not understanding the context of these economic policies I mentioned above. As a matter of fact, this is more important than what your party affiliation is. This is not a left or right wing post. This is not a pro free-market or pro socialism post. This is a post about making informed decisions and holding our government accountable, including ourselves. Regardless of whether you consider yourself someone on the left, conservative, right, republican, democrat, independent, rich, poor, middle-class, wealthy, religious, atheist, deprived, a victim, a power broker, keynesian, austrian, libertarian, socialist, indifferent, etc, you should consider what I just wrote in this post. Being a blind ideologue is easy, but spending the time to understand things properly is more difficult which is why most people choose the former instead of the latter. Two things to remember, there is no such thing as a free lunch and a government is only as good as the people who support it.

  Economic Resources that will increase your Financial Neurons

Books

  • Economics in One Lesson by Henry Hazlitt
  • The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money by John Maynard Keynes
  • Road to Serfdom by F.A. Hayek
  • Wealth of Nations by Adam Smith
  • The Return of Depression Economics and the Crisis of 2008 by Paul Krugman
  • America’s Great Depression by Murray N. Rothbard
  • Meltdown: A Free-Market Look at Why the Stock Market Collapsed, the Economy Tanked, and Government Bailouts Will Make Things Worse by Thomas E. Woods Jr. and Ron Paul
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  1. By Renting vs Buying a Home on October 2, 2009 at 6:45 pm

    [...] II: Why Can’t I Make Ends Meet? (Keynes vs the Austrian School of [...]

  2. By Saving Money vs Serfdom on October 7, 2009 at 11:53 am

    [...] Part II: Why Can’t I Make Ends Meet? (Keynes vs the Austrian School of Economics) [...]

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